Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
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MARKET PULSE
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
88% 44.0pp
24h volume
$995.3K
Orrery Pulse59% current51-71% 7D range+4.0pp net move
75%68%61%54%47%
59%
May 2459%+4.0pp from start
May 17May 18May 19May 20May 21May 22May 23May 24
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
High
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 87/93 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 24, 2026
Read full brief - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays probability up 44.0pp on $1.0M of 24h volume.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
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