Iran closes its airspace by June 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
OrreryPrediction-market intelligence · research only · not trade advice
Orrery is a verification-first intelligence terminal for prediction markets.
It helps analysts, journalists, research teams, and AI agents understand what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next. Orrery is not a broker, not a market maker, and does not provide trade recommendations.
World Cup modeJun 11-Jul 19, 2026 · research only · not trade advice
World Cup markets move fast. Orrery verifies the move before you trust the price.
Top movers, matchday brief, not-settled checks, and alerts for screenshots that need source, liquidity, and settlement context.
Tracked
39
24h volume
$88.0M
Lead move
Quiet
Orrery verifies prediction-market movement before you trust the price
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
WHY THIS TARGET
Scoring M1
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?
Ranked by evidence, liquidity, spread quality, resolution state, and whether related markets need comparison.
Source statusLIVEEvidence contextLIVEMarket movement4.0ppLiquidity$50Next checkVerify this market
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Watch only
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami MarlinsQueue proof
24h Δ -23.0pp, 1h Δ -21.0pp · Turnover 10.2× liquidity
2Watch only
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24h Δ -16.5pp, 1h Δ -0.1pp · Turnover 2.3× liquidity
3Watch only
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
24h Δ -15.0pp, 1h Δ -14.0pp · Turnover 6.6× liquidity
4Watch only
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
24h Δ 21.0pp, 1h Δ 21.0pp · Turnover 3.7× liquidity
5Watch only
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
24h Δ -9.0pp, 1h Δ -6.0pp · Turnover 3.4× liquidity
6Watch only
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays
24h Δ 8.0pp, 1h Δ 9.0pp · Turnover 2.6× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias SotoUMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
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Live Tape quiet — Orrery is still monitoring signals, whale-size flow, 1h moves, source updates, and resolution-state transitions.
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 95/93 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 91/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 9, 2026
Read full brief - Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel probability down 27.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights resolves in 0h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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