Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
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MARKET PULSE
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red SoxHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
92% 49.0pp
24h volume
$1.1M
Orrery Pulse47% current18-63% 7D range-3.5pp net move
71%56%40%25%9%
47%
May 2447%-3.5pp from start
May 17May 18May 19May 20May 21May 22May 23May 24
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysUMA PENDING
High
High
High
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?UMA DISPUTED
High
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real MadridUMA PENDING
High
High
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesUMA PENDING
High
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore OriolesUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/81 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 89 | 95/93 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 88 | 95/88 82/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 24, 2026
Read full brief - Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs probability up 54.0pp on $0.6M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Thunder vs. Spurs resolves in 4h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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