ITF Doboj: Deni Hadzialijagic vs Gerard Campana Lee
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$44.71
Liquidity
$196.64
Canonical status
confidence: mediumSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
The derived status is computed from the source flags plus the live YES price, so a market trading near a rail can read as PRICE-PINNED while upstream is still active. That isn't the same as resolved.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Expires in 57h.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $197 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 57 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- May 27, 08:00 UTCScheduled resolutionHIGH
Market resolves in 56.8h
- 23:10SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 57h.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Deni Hadzialijagic and Gerard Campana Lee in the ITF Men Doboj, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Deni Hadzialijagic' if Deni Hadzialijagic advances against Gerard Campana Lee. This market will resolve to 'Gerard Campana Lee' if Gerard Campana Lee advances against Deni Hadzialijagic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Why this category?
confidence: highCategory
Source
Matched term
tennis matchReason
Generic tennis-match marker.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "ITF Doboj: Deni Hadzialijagic vs Gerard Campana Lee"?
As of Sun, 24 May 2026 23:10:16 GMT, YES is priced at 5% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by May 27, 2026 (2026-05-27T08:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$44.71 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $44.71. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $196.64. Spread between best bid and best ask: 1.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.
Top Holders
4 walletsNone.