Writhing-Round
0x1583c5d3f2b55b3ec71c599c6b90d328d49cbdde
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$7.2K
Total PnL
$-779.16
Realised
$-955.96
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
2500 shares @ 86.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.3K
$139.04
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
523 shares @ 71.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$446.93
$72.71
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
218 shares @ 64.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$207.29
$65.99
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
208 shares @ 68.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$198.44
$56.35
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?
190 shares @ 73.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$184.30
$45.20
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
185 shares @ 65.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$175.12
$53.84
- YES
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
283 shares @ 55.2¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$154.47
$-2.07
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
150 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 23, 2026$149.32
$35.32
- OVER 5.5
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5
200 shares @ 78.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$147.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?
217 shares @ 77.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$143.22
$-23.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$10.08May 24, 01:31 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$11.76May 24, 00:45 UTC
- MERGEUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$11.00May 24, 00:32 UTC
- REWARD$0.80May 24, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$19.73May 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.28May 23, 23:46 UTC
- MERGEUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$6.00May 23, 23:00 UTC
- MERGEWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$2.5KMay 23, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$300.00May 23, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.88May 23, 22:44 UTC
- MERGESolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$8.00May 23, 22:26 UTC
- MERGEBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$197.26May 23, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$25.70May 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$35.88May 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$3.58May 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$1.54May 23, 22:16 UTC
- MERGEWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$0.00May 23, 22:13 UTC
- MERGEWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$210.56May 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$182.24May 23, 22:13 UTC
- MERGEWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$449.72May 23, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $178.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 01:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".