Untimely-Mangrove
0x49b2f43fd1dbff994bc597a806c57b68eb034aee
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
93
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-14.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1119 shares @ 68.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$323.35
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1026 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$846.15
$46.15
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1020 shares @ 49.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$525.51
$25.51
- NO
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
412 shares @ 60.7¢·now 57.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$234.83
$-15.17
- YES
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$98.48
$-1.51
- NO
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?
83 shares @ 52.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$46.10
$2.91
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
4000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-15?
2000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
1952 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-390.40
- YES
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-28?
1557 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$252.95May 24, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?$102.01May 22, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?$43.81May 22, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$500.00May 22, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$800.00May 22, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Racing Club win on 2026-05-21?$1.7KMay 22, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Club win on 2026-05-21?$234.48May 22, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club win on 2026-05-21?$365.89May 21, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA River Plate win on 2026-05-20?$326.94May 21, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?$250.00May 20, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate win on 2026-05-20?$214.74May 20, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?$101.50May 19, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?$201.20May 19, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate win on 2026-05-16?$304.27May 16, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?$715.53May 16, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?$204.32May 13, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-12?$360.78May 12, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate win on 2026-05-13?$282.16May 11, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA River Plate win on 2026-05-10?$714.52May 11, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate win on 2026-05-10?$305.22May 10, 22:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $224.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".