Specific-Amnesty
0x502fd57b04a4f5bdc1968b1c24acef936122d624
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-292.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1050 shares @ 47.6¢·now 54.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$573.91
$73.91
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
2143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$407.14
$107.14
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
458 shares @ 65.4¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$270.47
$-29.53
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
489 shares @ 40.9¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$190.52
$-9.48
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
473 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.31
$0.31
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?
268 shares @ 9.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$20.08
$-4.92
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.29
$-43.71
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.67
$-7.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
144 shares @ 24.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.23
$-32.77
- YES
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$-0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$203.64May 23, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$300.00May 23, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$25.00May 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$200.00May 23, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?$26.59May 23, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$203.64May 23, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.3KMay 23, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$36.06May 16, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$51.30May 16, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$102.74May 16, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$310.32May 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$999.75May 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.00Jan 8, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 8, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?$2.00Jan 7, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$2.00Jan 7, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$20.00Jan 7, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$2.00Jan 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$2.00Jan 4, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $127.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".