Fluffy-Declination
0x6fd24c79734dcef8a51884403e9fb1b24c837414
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-2.32
Realised
$8.91
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?
1500 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.5K
$8.25
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
20 shares @ 86.7¢·now 79.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.94
$-1.40
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.72
$1.27
- NO
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-30?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.45
$0.10
- NO
Will CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.07
$-0.03
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
20 shares @ 12.3¢·now 19.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.94
$1.49
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-0.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
10 shares @ 23.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.35
$1.05
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.20
$-0.20
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.38
$-1.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?$5.00May 24, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 23?$0.73May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 23?$0.43May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23?$1.45May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?$1.50May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 23?$0.73May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 23?$0.07May 22, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-30?$4.37May 22, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?$4.12May 22, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30?$1.53May 22, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$13.65May 21, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$12.53May 21, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$13.17May 20, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$14.66May 20, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00May 17, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00May 17, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.00May 17, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$0.00May 17, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.00May 17, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.00May 17, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $5.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 00:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".