0x8d1bba976e7986835016829d98d050fd98a2660e
0x8d1bba976e7986835016829d98d050fd98a2660e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$40.15
Total PnL
$-25.07
Realised
$-0.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.95
$0.95
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
4 shares @ 65.6¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.72
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.59
$0.59
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.30
$0.30
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
2 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.84
$0.01
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5$1.01May 24, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5$1.02May 24, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?$1.56May 24, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMTōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Score$2.22May 24, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?$1.01May 24, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: Both Teams to Score$1.02May 24, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 4.5$0.19May 24, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-23?$1.00May 24, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5$1.01May 24, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5$1.92May 24, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMGeneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien$2.44May 24, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers$1.89May 24, 05:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 23, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$2.04May 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$2.00May 23, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.00May 23, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$2.00May 23, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$2.04May 23, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.98May 23, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".