Reliable-Pancake
0xa5160a394fad0b7005f7e132f6fa7aa858f8b2ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$31.63
Total PnL
$-329.03
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17.5B by June 30?
46 shares @ 30.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$18.63
$4.83
- YES
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by June 30?
50 shares @ 32.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.25
$-8.75
- YES
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.75
$-4.25
- YES
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?
315 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-88.33
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address?
153 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-73.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
104 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
103 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.42
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 6?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 6?
53 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 3?
51 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.53
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.52May 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17.5B by June 30?$13.80May 20, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by June 30?$16.00May 20, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 20?$140.81May 20, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?$10.00May 20, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 20?$124.08May 20, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 17?$10.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 17?$7.98May 17, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?$2.70May 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?$3.98May 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?$5.20May 15, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?$0.80May 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?$0.80May 15, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?$4.48May 15, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?$5.72May 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 14?$5.90May 14, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 14?$0.96May 14, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 14?$1.15May 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 14?$1.19May 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 14?$3.82May 14, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $19.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 07:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".