Understated-Liability
0xa9ee0498dc57137428abc07eede55e86135d6f05
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$17.37
Total PnL
$-6.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 86.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will the match end in a draw?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will the match end in a draw?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will the match end in a draw?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.47
$-0.53
- NO
Will the match end in a draw?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.19
$-0.81
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
1 shares @ 90.5¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.01May 21, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 21, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$1.00May 20, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.01May 20, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.01May 20, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the match end in a draw?$1.05May 20, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the match end in a draw?$1.05May 20, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the match end in a draw?$1.05May 20, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 15:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".