Fearful-Trumpet
0xbe1ded5b7ebba705df5282bc52fba251c2f7a7da
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-684.68
Realised
$33.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1754 shares @ 62.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$613.10
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
557 shares @ 35.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$403.53
$203.53
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
418 shares @ 71.8¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$304.99
$4.99
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
397 shares @ 37.8¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$242.12
$92.12
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?
1176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$223.53
$23.53
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
257 shares @ 77.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$219.82
$19.82
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
241 shares @ 82.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$205.02
$5.02
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
265 shares @ 75.6¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$199.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?
329 shares @ 30.4¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$116.79
$16.79
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$114.75
$14.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$50.26May 24, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$51.32May 24, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$94.96May 24, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?$51.35May 24, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$50.45May 22, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$50.00May 22, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$30.00May 22, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$202.22May 22, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$51.45May 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$101.04May 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$20.00May 22, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$101.16May 22, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?$102.36May 22, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$50.95May 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$101.56May 21, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$201.37May 21, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?$206.64May 21, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$201.95May 21, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?$102.52May 21, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?$101.56May 21, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $146.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".