Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse
0xe457dd299f14f8f097b0d7ec8d5be29761455ab3
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$144.07
Total PnL
$-42.55
Realised
$-1.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
62 shares @ 82.9¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$48.05
$-3.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?
84 shares @ 76.1¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$36.98
$-27.01
- YES
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by June 30?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.40
$-1.60
- YES
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.90
$-5.10
- YES
Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by June 1, 2026?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$10.10
$-0.90
- NO
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.31
$-1.84
- YES
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?
8 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.03
$-0.33
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.53May 24, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$10.63May 24, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30?$11.00May 23, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30?$4.51May 23, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$9.34May 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Richard Grenell as the next Director of National Intelligence?$17.31May 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?$2.88May 23, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?$1.31May 23, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$18.38May 23, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$9.45May 23, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$2.47May 23, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?$9.20May 23, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by June 30?$16.00May 23, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$1.25May 23, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$19.20May 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?$7.30May 23, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$14.20May 23, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$3.12May 23, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$16.00May 23, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$16.40May 23, 13:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $10.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".