0xefcedda09b4f2224c856edbd9c41c1d6db124e4a
0xefcedda09b4f2224c856edbd9c41c1d6db124e4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$50.0K
Total PnL
$4.7K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
20%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
38832 shares @ 3.4¢·now 22.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.9K
$7.6K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
3771 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.8K
$229.38
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
4886 shares @ 15.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.9K
$2.2K
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
9012 shares @ 11.8¢·now 31.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.8K
$1.8K
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
3952 shares @ 63.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.1K
$-446.28
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
2015 shares @ 62.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.0K
$701.05
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
1698 shares @ 87.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.7K
$207.48
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
4167 shares @ 36.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.7K
$166.67
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
2168 shares @ 60.9¢·now 73.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$278.30
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1521 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.5K
$21.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$101.72May 24, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$314.09May 24, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$994.26May 24, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$26.12May 24, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$642.61May 24, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$276.05May 24, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$254.74May 24, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$950.00May 24, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$15.53May 24, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$12.81May 24, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$13.09May 24, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$253.81May 24, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$1.4KMay 24, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$114.00May 24, 00:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.80May 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$97.54May 24, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 24, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$17.37May 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$68.42May 23, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$146.99May 23, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $222.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 01:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".