Resolution Watch
Markets where the next material event is settlement, not new information. Three explicit sub-buckets so the page never mixes 'expires in 12 hours, get ready' with 'expired three weeks ago, still in dispute' with 'pinned at 100¢ but not closed'.
Expiring soon · next 72h
4Endpoints crossing in the next three days. Resolution source matters more than directional move here.
Past expiry · awaiting UMA
3End date passed but the market hasn't closed cleanly — typically waiting on UMA, a dispute, or an ambiguous resolution rule.
Looks settled · 0¢ / 100¢ pinned
5Pinned at the rail with real volume — the outcome is effectively decided. Verify before treating any move as new information.
- ≈ YES
Thunder vs. Spurs
Expires May 23, 2026 · UMA proposed
100¢ - ≈ NO
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Expires Jul 20, 2026
0¢ - ≈ NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Expires May 22, 2026 · UMA proposed
0¢ - ≈ NO
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Expires Jul 20, 2026
0¢ - ≈ NO
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Expires Jul 20, 2026
0¢