High
Evidence layerFor AI agents monitoring prediction markets · research only · not trade advice
Evidence for AI agents monitoring prediction markets.
Orrery is read-only. It turns Polymarket movement, whale flow, source context, and resolution risk into structured evidence agents can cite, monitor, and escalate. Verification-first by design: price is not settlement, large trade is not smart money, and every move needs a source check.
Price is not settlement.Large trade is not smart money.Same event is not the same contract.Source quality matters more near expiry.Agents need evidence, not opinions.
One evidence layer, many entry points
Agents are the wedge. The same source-aware evidence becomes useful to developers, analysts, journalists, teams, and publishers without changing Orrery into trade advice.
AI agentsPrimary wedgeStable evidence packets, source health, suggested next calls, and refusal-safe actions.Decision Cards + MCP + x402
DevelopersAPI entryA clean prediction-market evidence API instead of stitching raw odds, trades, sources, and risk checks.OpenAPI + free starter endpoints
AnalystsHuman workflowAttention queues, source checks, whale context, and resolution-risk screens before trusting a move.Scanner + Daily Brief + alerts
JournalistsNarrative proofCitable context for what moved, why it matters, and what is still unverified.Share cards + Markdown receipts
Research teamsB2B workflowShared watchlists, repeatable reviews, audit history, and source-aware handoffs.Team briefs + B2B API
NewslettersDistributionDaily market context that can be embedded without turning into trade advice.Daily Brief + shareable cards
World Cup modeJun 11-Jul 19, 2026 · research only · not trade advice
World Cup markets move fast. Orrery verifies the move before you trust the price.
Top movers, matchday brief, not-settled checks, and alerts for screenshots that need source, liquidity, and settlement context.
Tracked
Tracking
24h volume
$0.00
Lead move
Quiet
Orrery verifies prediction-market movement before you trust the price
Today
5 things to verify
5 observations · 32 resolution risks
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
M1Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsHIGH EVIDENCE
Active target: top verification queue itemChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
0% 45.5pp
24h volume
$84.4K
Verification target69% current39-69% 7D range+18.5pp net move
74%64%54%44%34%
69%
Jul 2869%+18.5pp from start
Jul 25Jul 25Jul 26Jul 26Jul 27Jul 27Jul 28Jul 28
WHY THIS TARGET
Scoring M1
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
Ranked by evidence, liquidity, spread quality, resolution state, and whether related markets need comparison.
Source statusUMA PENDINGEvidence contextHIGH EVIDENCEMarket movement45.5ppLiquidity$84.4KNext checkReview dispute
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Watch only
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Queue proof
24h Δ 6.5pp, 1h Δ 3.0pp · Turnover 1.8× liquidity
3Inspect timeline
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
24h Δ -4.0pp · 1h Δ 1.5pp
5Watch only
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
24h Δ -3.0pp, 1h Δ -4.0pp · Turnover 0.3× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5UMA PENDING
High
NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5UMA PENDING
High
NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 5.5UMA PENDING
High
Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5UMA PENDING
High
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5UMA PENDING
High
Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia win on 2026-07-28?UMA PENDING
High
Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 4.5UMA PENDING
High
Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 3.5UMA PENDING
High
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-07-28?UMA PENDING
High
Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-28?UMA PENDING
High
High
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsPAST EVENT
—
—
—
—
—
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
—
Live Tape quiet — Orrery is still monitoring signals, whale-size flow, 1h moves, source updates, and resolution-state transitions.
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 81/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 74 | 59/88 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 73 | 54/95 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 72 | 50/94 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 70 | 55/80 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJuly 28, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? probability down 16.0pp on $0.1M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? shows a momentum pattern at 81% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-07-28? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
Set up watchlist