The market moved
+0.1ppin 24h · now 3¢
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Other · resolves Jun 30 · vol $653.52
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 3¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.