The market moved
+3.5ppin 24h · now 78¢
Will the Cleveland Guardians win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
Sports · resolves Oct 5 · vol $11.33
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 78¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: mlb.com — https://www.mlb.com/standings/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.