The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 7¢
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Weather · resolves Dec 31 · vol $12.72
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the latest provided data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the latest provided data — https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.