Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 24¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on department of defense — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Defense — https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.