The market moved
-4.1ppin 24h · now 85¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?
Crypto · resolves May 18 · vol $244.4K
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 85¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.1pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 8.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.