The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now 45¢

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Politics · resolves Nov 30 · vol $6.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 45¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.