The market moved

+14.2ppin 24h · now 30¢

Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-12?

Sports · resolves May 12 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 30¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.2pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.