The market moved

-10.0ppin 24h · now 21¢

Will Bamin Real Potosí vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo end in a draw?

Sports · resolves May 18 · vol $60.15

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 21¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 4.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.