The market moved

+3.0ppin 24h · now 64¢

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Politics · resolves Jan 1 · vol $11.4K

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 64¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+3.0pp · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Orrery