The market moved
-52.0ppin 24h · now 2¢
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 18?
Sports · resolves May 18 · vol $2.3K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 52.0pp shift. Resolution depends on coinbase (exchange price) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Coinbase (exchange price) — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 1.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.