The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 50¢
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Guernsey vs Austria - Toss Match Double Austria Winner
Sports · resolves May 26 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on espncricinfo.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: espncricinfo.com — https://www.espncricinfo.com/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.