The market moved
-3.0ppin 24h · now 92¢
Will Deere & Co (DE) beat quarterly earnings?
Macro · resolves May 21 · vol $73.06
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 92¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.