The market moved
-26.5ppin 24h · now 38¢
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)
Sports · resolves May 21 · vol $506.13
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 38¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 26.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dotabuff.com.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.