The market moved

-12.5ppin 24h · now

El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: O/U 3.5

Sports · resolves May 18 · vol $401.21

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.