The market moved
+0.6ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 20?
Crypto · resolves May 20 · vol $55.37
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 47.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.