The market moved
+0.7ppin 24h · now 4¢
Fed abolished before 2027?
Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $15.56
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 4¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.