The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 65¢

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Sports · resolves Jun 18 · vol $27.78

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 65¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-1.0pp · Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Orrery