The market moved

+0.1ppin 24h · now 97¢

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

Politics · resolves Apr 30 · vol $5.39

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 97¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.