The market moved

-13.0ppin 24h · now 62¢

Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?

Macro · resolves May 19 · vol $279.24

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 62¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 13.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the non-gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 27.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.