The market moved
+9.2ppin 24h · now 98¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 52°F or higher on May 21?
Weather · resolves May 21 · vol $2.0K
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 98¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.2pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 27.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.