The market moved

-8.3ppin 24h · now

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on May 21?

Weather · resolves May 21 · vol $649.19

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.3pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 24.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.