The market moved
+34.5ppin 24h · now 72¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 21?
Weather · resolves May 21 · vol $85.46
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 72¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 34.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 26.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.