The market moved

-1.1ppin 24h · now

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Geopolitics · resolves Mar 14 · vol $4.3K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on cloudflare radar data for iran, the “outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to a — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to a — https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-1.1pp · Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | Orrery