Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 60¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on cloudflare radar data for iran, the “outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to a — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to a — https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.