The market moved
+4.0ppin 24h · now 26¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $911.60
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 26¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.