The market moved

-39.5ppin 24h · now 32¢

ITF Klagenfurt: Nikolai Barsukov vs Calvin Mueller

Sports · resolves May 25 · vol $133.52

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 39.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.