The market moved
-10.0ppin 24h · now 39¢
Palermo FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929: Draw at halftime?
Sports · resolves May 20 · vol $58.56
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 39¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 47.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.