The market moved

+4.0ppin 24h · now 54¢

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?

Business · resolves Jan 1 · vol $80.34

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 54¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on kraken (exchange price) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Kraken (exchange price).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.