The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 89¢

Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?

Macro · resolves May 20 · vol $77.42

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 89¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 46.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.