The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 18¢

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on May 24?

Weather · resolves May 24 · vol $88.98

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.