The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 9¢
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Other · resolves Mar 31 · vol $16.50
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 9¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting — https://volcano.si.edu/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.