The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 18 above $470?
Business · resolves May 22 · vol $4.24
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.