The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 36¢

Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline

Sports · resolves May 19 · vol $1.3K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on based on the score at halftime only — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: based on the score at halftime only.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 9.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.