Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score First

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 33¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on based on the first point of the game scored only — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: based on the first point of the game scored only.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 9.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.